2027 French Presidential Election: Bardella Tied with Philippe in Polls
A recent survey indicates potential match-ups for the second round of France's upcoming presidential election.
As France approaches the presidential election in 2027, a recent study conducted by Ifop suggests that Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally (RN), could potentially match Édouard Philippe, leader of the Horizons party, in a second-round runoff, should Marine Le Pen face disqualification from candidacy.
This scenario is particularly relevant as it positions Bardella as a significant contender in the absence of Le Pen.
In the polling results, both Bardella and Le Pen would secure a spot in the second round against candidates from the right or center.
When tested against three candidates—Édouard Philippe (Horizons), Gabriel Attal (Renaissance), and Bruno Retailleau (Les Républicains, LR)—the survey revealed they would receive 15%, 8%, and 7.5% of the vote, respectively, with Philippe moving onto the second round.
Further hypothetical scenarios indicate that if Bruno Retailleau were to enter the race alone, he would receive 3% of the votes, while Philippe would garner 24% and Bardella would lead with 35%.
In a situation where Attal is absent, Philippe’s odds appear favorable to advance as a contender.
The dynamics shift notably when considering different candidates from the center-right.
In a potential face-off between Édouard Philippe and Marine Le Pen, Philippe would likely win with 52% of the votes, while 28% of respondents expressed no inclination toward either candidate.
Against Bardella, Philippe could find himself in a close contest, each receiving 50% of the votes, according to the survey data.
In contrasting scenarios like a face-off between Bardella and Gabriel Attal, Bardella is projected to win approximately 52% versus Attal's 48%.
Similarly, against Bruno Retailleau, Bardella could secure 53% of the votes.
An additional hypothetical involving a matchup between Bardella and Jean-Luc Mélenchon indicates a substantial advantage for Bardella, who would claim 67% of the vote.
The Ifop poll does not specify the expected performance metrics for Le Pen in scenarios against Attal, Retailleau, or Mélenchon, leaving uncertainty in these potential matchups.
As of now, the landscape of the 2027 French presidential election continues to evolve, reflecting shifting allegiances and candidate viability in a competitive political environment.
This scenario is particularly relevant as it positions Bardella as a significant contender in the absence of Le Pen.
In the polling results, both Bardella and Le Pen would secure a spot in the second round against candidates from the right or center.
When tested against three candidates—Édouard Philippe (Horizons), Gabriel Attal (Renaissance), and Bruno Retailleau (Les Républicains, LR)—the survey revealed they would receive 15%, 8%, and 7.5% of the vote, respectively, with Philippe moving onto the second round.
Further hypothetical scenarios indicate that if Bruno Retailleau were to enter the race alone, he would receive 3% of the votes, while Philippe would garner 24% and Bardella would lead with 35%.
In a situation where Attal is absent, Philippe’s odds appear favorable to advance as a contender.
The dynamics shift notably when considering different candidates from the center-right.
In a potential face-off between Édouard Philippe and Marine Le Pen, Philippe would likely win with 52% of the votes, while 28% of respondents expressed no inclination toward either candidate.
Against Bardella, Philippe could find himself in a close contest, each receiving 50% of the votes, according to the survey data.
In contrasting scenarios like a face-off between Bardella and Gabriel Attal, Bardella is projected to win approximately 52% versus Attal's 48%.
Similarly, against Bruno Retailleau, Bardella could secure 53% of the votes.
An additional hypothetical involving a matchup between Bardella and Jean-Luc Mélenchon indicates a substantial advantage for Bardella, who would claim 67% of the vote.
The Ifop poll does not specify the expected performance metrics for Le Pen in scenarios against Attal, Retailleau, or Mélenchon, leaving uncertainty in these potential matchups.
As of now, the landscape of the 2027 French presidential election continues to evolve, reflecting shifting allegiances and candidate viability in a competitive political environment.
