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Sunday, Apr 13, 2025

Global Stock Markets Plunge Amid Trade Tensions and Recession Fears

Global Stock Markets Plunge Amid Trade Tensions and Recession Fears

Stock markets worldwide experience significant declines, raising concerns over potential financial turmoil reminiscent of past crises.
Global stock markets have experienced a dramatic decline in recent days, driven by aggressive tariffs proposed by the former U.S. President Donald Trump and looming recession fears that have unsettled investors.

As of April 8, 2025, analysts are assessing whether these movements signify a stock market crash, a term typically describing a sudden drop of at least 10% in stock prices amidst widespread investor panic.

The downturn began on April 2, with the S&P 500 index, the primary benchmark in the United States, falling nearly 11%, resulting in a loss of more than $5.3 trillion in total market capitalization.

This steep decline follows historical patterns; during the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, the S&P 500 saw a single-day drop of nearly 12%.

However, previous declines in 2020 included an initial drop of 10% over a month, followed by rapid declines, prompting professionals to suggest that not all market collapses exhibit the same intensity.

Market analysts such as Alexandre Baradez, from IG France, note that while the recent drops signify fear among investors, they do not universally define a market crash.

The analysis sheds light on the exceptional volatility and rapid movements currently observed, drawing parallels to the impacts of the 2008 financial crisis.

Currently, the Nasdaq index, heavily weighted with technology stocks, is now classified in a bear market, having declined over 20% from its peak.

Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), which measures market volatility, has reached levels comparable to those witnessed during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The financial downturn appears to be primarily affecting U.S. equity markets while spreading contagion to European and Asian markets.

Since April 1, major European indices have suffered declines exceeding 10%.

The DAX index in Frankfurt decreased by 10.71%, the CAC 40 in Paris fell by 11.08%, and the FTSE 100 in London saw a reduction of 10.26%.

This represents one of the most severe periods for the Paris Bourse since March 2022, following significant geopolitical developments such as the invasion of Ukraine.

Similarly, Asian markets have faced harsh declines; after China's response to the trade tensions, the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong plummeted by 13.22%, marking its steepest drop since the 1997 Asian financial crisis.

Mainland China's composite Shanghai index fell by 7.34%, its worst performance since March 2020, while the Shenzhen Component index declined by 9.66%, a level not observed since 1996. Additionally, the Taiwanese stock market recorded a decline of 9.7%, its worst since its inception in 1967. Tokyo’s stock exchange also faced losses, decreasing by 7.82% on the same day.

As global stocks continue to decline, uncertainty in economic outlooks persists, compounding concerns of impending recessions and fueling further volatility in financial markets worldwide.
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