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Saturday, Mar 15, 2025

Global Economic Growth Forecasts Adjusted Amid Inflation Concerns

Global Economic Growth Forecasts Adjusted Amid Inflation Concerns

International financial institutions revise growth projections as inflation persists across major economies.
International financial institutions have recently revised their forecasts for global economic growth, responding to persistent inflationary pressures that have affected various regions.

The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have both noted that inflation remains significantly above targets in several advanced economies, including the United States and those in the Eurozone.

The World Bank has projected that the global economy will grow by 2.9% in 2023, a downward adjustment from previous estimates due to ongoing disruptions linked to energy prices and supply chain issues.

The IMF, meanwhile, reported a similar trend, noting that growth in advanced economies is likely to slow further as central banks continue to implement tightening monetary policies to combat inflation.

In the United States, inflation rates have consistently hovered around 7% over the past year, prompting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.

As of October 2023, the Federal Reserve has increased rates by 300 basis points since March 2022, contributing to higher borrowing costs for consumers and businesses alike.

In Europe, the European Central Bank (ECB) is facing similar challenges, with inflation reaching over 6% in several member states.

Economists predict that Europe's economy will face a recession in 2023, as rising energy costs and geopolitical tensions, including the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, continue to impact economic stability.

Emerging markets have shown some resilience, but they are not immune to global trends; inflation rates have also increased in many developing countries, primarily driven by food and energy prices.

The World Bank has cautioned that sustained high inflation could hinder development efforts and exacerbate poverty levels in these regions.

In Asia, countries such as China are experiencing different challenges.

Growth has slowed as strict COVID-19 measures are being imposed intermittently.

The Chinese government has indicated that stimulus measures may be necessary to support economic activity going forward.

As global uncertainties persist, international markets remain volatile, with stock markets responding to policy shifts and inflation data.

Commodity prices, particularly oil and gas, remain high, contributing to inflationary pressures worldwide.

Major economies are now tasked with balancing growth and inflation control, navigating the complexities posed by global trade disruptions, and adapting to a shifting geopolitical landscape.
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